# Track Record — Verdict Accuracy & Performance | ShouldIBuyGoldNow > Our gold verdict model has issued 132 verdicts with a 31% win rate. See historical accuracy, confidence calibration, and benchmark comparison. Performance Dashboard # Our Track Record Transparent, verifiable performance of every verdict our model has issued. 132 Total Verdicts 125 Evaluated 31% Win Rate \-8.13% Model Return ## Win Rate by Signal How often each verdict type proved correct within 7 days. Buy 25/70 36% accuracy Watch 14/52 27% accuracy Don't Buy 0/3 0% accuracy ## Model vs Buy-and-Hold Hypothetical return from following model signals vs simply buying and holding gold over the tracked period. Model (Buy signals only) \-8.13% vs Buy & Hold \-2.87% ## Confidence Calibration A well-calibrated model is correct \~X% of the time when it says it's X% confident. 0-25% Expected: 13% Actual: 0% 0 verdicts 25-50% Expected: 38% Actual: 33% 49 verdicts 50-75% Expected: 63% Actual: 27% 44 verdicts 75-100% Expected: 88% Actual: 34% 32 verdicts ## Verdict History Every verdict with its 7-day outcome. Most recent first. | Date | Verdict | Score | Confidence | Gold Price | 7D Outcome | Result | | ---------- | --------- | ----- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ------- | | 2026-08-13 | Watch | +0.3 | 75% | $4,488.20 | — | Pending | | 2026-08-12 | Watch | +2.5 | 56% | $4,465.40 | — | Pending | | 2026-08-11 | Buy | +3.3 | 39% | $4,469.10 | — | Pending | | 2026-08-10 | Buy | +4.3 | 42% | $4,389.60 | — | Pending | | 2026-08-09 | Buy | +4.3 | 42% | $4,340.70 | — | Pending | | 2026-08-08 | Buy | +4.3 | 42% | $4,401.30 | — | Pending | | 2026-08-07 | Buy | +7.3 | 55% | $4,326.90 | — | Pending | | 2026-08-06 | Buy | +6.3 | 52% | $4,315.90 | +3.99% | Correct | | 2026-08-05 | Buy | +3.8 | 38% | $4,149.50 | +7.61% | Correct | | 2026-08-04 | Buy | +5.3 | 38% | $4,119.70 | +8.48% | Correct | | 2026-08-03 | Buy | +3.3 | 36% | $4,112.60 | +6.74% | Correct | | 2026-08-02 | Watch | +2.3 | 60% | $4,043.21 | +7.36% | Wrong | | 2026-08-01 | Buy | +4.5 | 40% | $4,043.21 | +8.86% | Correct | | 2026-07-31 | Buy | +4.0 | 39% | $4,136.30 | +4.61% | Correct | | 2026-07-30 | Watch | +0.8 | 75% | $4,138.80 | +4.28% | Wrong | | 2026-07-29 | Don't Buy | \-3.3 | 42% | $4,026.80 | +3.05% | Wrong | | 2026-07-28 | Watch | \-2.0 | 61% | $4,047.40 | +1.79% | Wrong | | 2026-07-27 | Watch | +0.0 | 75% | $4,104.00 | +0.21% | Correct | | 2026-07-26 | Watch | +0.0 | 75% | $4,070.80 | \-0.68% | Correct | | 2026-07-25 | Watch | +0.0 | 75% | $4,067.60 | \-0.60% | Correct | | 2026-07-24 | Watch | \-1.0 | 75% | $4,026.70 | +2.72% | Wrong | | 2026-07-23 | Buy | +3.0 | 35% | $4,124.80 | +0.34% | Correct | | 2026-07-22 | Watch | +0.0 | 75% | $4,128.50 | \-2.46% | Wrong | | 2026-07-21 | Watch | +0.0 | 75% | $4,012.20 | +0.88% | Correct | | 2026-07-20 | Buy | +3.5 | 40% | $4,001.50 | +2.56% | Correct | | 2026-07-19 | Watch | +2.0 | 64% | $4,018.80 | +1.29% | Wrong | | 2026-07-18 | Watch | +2.0 | 64% | $4,012.70 | +1.37% | Wrong | | 2026-07-17 | Watch | \-0.5 | 75% | $3,981.90 | +1.13% | Wrong | | 2026-07-16 | Watch | +0.5 | 75% | $4,034.80 | +2.23% | Wrong | | 2026-07-15 | Watch | +2.0 | 64% | $4,033.80 | +2.35% | Wrong | | 2026-07-14 | Buy | +8.5 | 54% | $4,016.50 | \-0.11% | Wrong | | 2026-07-13 | Buy | +7.8 | 54% | $4,064.90 | \-1.56% | Wrong | | 2026-07-12 | Buy | +9.8 | 63% | $4,113.70 | \-2.31% | Wrong | | 2026-07-11 | Buy | +9.8 | 63% | $4,128.90 | \-2.81% | Wrong | | 2026-07-10 | Buy | +9.8 | 63% | $4,124.90 | \-3.47% | Wrong | | 2026-07-09 | Buy | +10.3 | 65% | $4,086.60 | \-1.27% | Wrong | | 2026-07-08 | Buy | +10.5 | 63% | $4,135.30 | \-2.45% | Wrong | | 2026-07-07 | Buy | +9.8 | 63% | $4,144.20 | \-3.08% | Wrong | | 2026-07-06 | Buy | +8.3 | 42% | $4,163.50 | \-2.37% | Wrong | | 2026-07-05 | Buy | +7.0 | 52% | $4,187.30 | \-1.76% | Wrong | | 2026-07-04 | Buy | +6.3 | 46% | $4,187.30 | \-1.39% | Wrong | | 2026-07-03 | Buy | +6.3 | 46% | $4,190.00 | \-1.55% | Wrong | | 2026-07-02 | Buy | +6.0 | 48% | $4,070.22 | +0.40% | Correct | | 2026-07-01 | Buy | +3.5 | 40% | $3,974.95 | +4.03% | Correct | | 2026-06-30 | Buy | +5.5 | 49% | $3,994.30 | +3.75% | Correct | | 2026-06-29 | Buy | +7.3 | 55% | $4,070.00 | +2.30% | Correct | | 2026-06-28 | Buy | +6.0 | 51% | $4,096.30 | +2.22% | Correct | | 2026-06-27 | Buy | +6.0 | 51% | $4,078.70 | +2.66% | Correct | | 2026-06-26 | Buy | +6.0 | 51% | $4,028.90 | +4.00% | Correct | | 2026-06-25 | Buy | +6.0 | 51% | $3,992.90 | +1.94% | Correct | | 2026-06-24 | Buy | +6.0 | 51% | $4,083.60 | \-2.66% | Wrong | | 2026-06-23 | Buy | +6.0 | 51% | $4,147.10 | \-3.68% | Wrong | | 2026-06-22 | Buy | +6.0 | 37% | $4,205.40 | \-3.22% | Wrong | | 2026-06-21 | Buy | +6.0 | 44% | $4,172.90 | \-1.84% | Wrong | | 2026-06-20 | Buy | +6.0 | 48% | $4,172.90 | \-2.26% | Wrong | | 2026-06-19 | Buy | +6.0 | 48% | $4,144.60 | \-2.79% | Wrong | | 2026-06-18 | Buy | +10.0 | 64% | $4,341.40 | \-8.03% | Wrong | | 2026-06-17 | Buy | +8.0 | 55% | $4,359.60 | \-6.33% | Wrong | | 2026-06-16 | Buy | +7.3 | 44% | $4,349.30 | \-4.65% | Wrong | | 2026-06-15 | Buy | +7.0 | 52% | $4,349.40 | \-3.31% | Wrong | | 2026-06-14 | Buy | +6.3 | 49% | $4,238.80 | \-1.55% | Wrong | | 2026-06-13 | Buy | +6.3 | 49% | $4,239.90 | \-1.58% | Wrong | | 2026-06-12 | Buy | +6.3 | 49% | $4,210.00 | \-1.55% | Wrong | | 2026-06-11 | Buy | +7.3 | 52% | $4,099.30 | +5.91% | Correct | | 2026-06-10 | Watch | +1.3 | 75% | $4,199.80 | +3.80% | Wrong | | 2026-06-09 | Watch | +1.3 | 75% | $4,359.00 | \-0.22% | Correct | | 2026-06-08 | Watch | +0.3 | 75% | $4,334.10 | +0.35% | Correct | | 2026-06-07 | Watch | +0.3 | 75% | $4,365.30 | \-2.90% | Wrong | | 2026-06-06 | Watch | +0.3 | 75% | $4,337.10 | \-2.24% | Wrong | | 2026-06-05 | Buy | +5.3 | 48% | $4,440.56 | \-5.19% | Wrong | | 2026-06-04 | Buy | +3.3 | 39% | $4,469.83 | \-8.29% | Wrong | | 2026-05-30 | Watch | +2.8 | 51% | $4,560.50 | \-4.90% | Wrong | | 2026-05-29 | Watch | +1.8 | 68% | $4,542.00 | \-2.23% | Wrong | | 2026-05-28 | Watch | +0.3 | 75% | $4,401.60 | +1.55% | Wrong | | 2026-05-27 | Watch | +1.3 | 70% | $4,503.50 | \-0.75% | Correct | | 2026-05-26 | Buy | +3.3 | 35% | $4,530.40 | \-1.34% | Wrong | | 2026-05-25 | Watch | +0.3 | 75% | $4,523.20 | \-1.18% | Wrong | | 2026-05-24 | Watch | \-1.8 | 71% | $4,523.20 | \-1.18% | Wrong | | 2026-05-23 | Watch | \-1.8 | 71% | $4,510.50 | +1.11% | Wrong | | 2026-05-22 | Watch | \-2.3 | 63% | $4,527.20 | +0.33% | Correct | | 2026-05-21 | Watch | \-2.3 | 63% | $4,527.50 | \-2.78% | Wrong | | 2026-05-20 | Watch | \-0.3 | 75% | $4,475.20 | +0.63% | Correct | | 2026-05-19 | Watch | +2.3 | 52% | $4,545.00 | \-0.32% | Correct | | 2026-05-18 | Watch | +1.3 | 75% | $4,541.00 | \-0.39% | Correct | | 2026-05-17 | Watch | +1.3 | 75% | $4,561.90 | \-0.85% | Correct | | 2026-05-16 | Watch | +1.3 | 75% | $4,555.80 | \-0.99% | Correct | | 2026-05-15 | Watch | +2.8 | 49% | $4,616.40 | \-1.93% | Wrong | | 2026-05-14 | Buy | +4.8 | 47% | $4,704.10 | \-3.75% | Wrong | | 2026-05-13 | Buy | +4.8 | 47% | $4,709.60 | \-4.98% | Wrong | | 2026-05-12 | Buy | +6.3 | 54% | $4,725.10 | \-3.81% | Wrong | | 2026-05-11 | Buy | +4.3 | 45% | $4,681.40 | \-3.00% | Wrong | | 2026-05-10 | Buy | +4.3 | 45% | $4,730.70 | \-3.57% | Wrong | | 2026-05-09 | Buy | +4.3 | 45% | $4,720.40 | \-3.49% | Wrong | | 2026-05-08 | Buy | +4.3 | 45% | $4,724.30 | \-2.28% | Wrong | | 2026-05-07 | Buy | +6.3 | 54% | $4,703.10 | +0.02% | Correct | | 2026-05-06 | Watch | +1.8 | 65% | $4,658.30 | +1.10% | Wrong | | 2026-05-05 | Watch | +0.3 | 75% | $4,543.00 | +4.01% | Wrong | | 2026-05-04 | Watch | +0.8 | 75% | $4,620.40 | +1.32% | Wrong | | 2026-05-03 | Watch | +0.8 | 75% | $4,644.50 | +1.86% | Wrong | | 2026-05-02 | Watch | +0.8 | 75% | $4,614.10 | +2.30% | Wrong | | 2026-05-01 | Watch | +2.3 | 57% | $4,605.01 | +2.59% | Wrong | | 2026-04-30 | Watch | +1.3 | 75% | $4,563.60 | +3.06% | Wrong | | 2026-04-29 | Watch | +0.8 | 75% | $4,614.20 | +0.96% | Correct | | 2026-04-28 | Watch | \-0.3 | 75% | $4,671.60 | \-2.75% | Wrong | | 2026-04-27 | Watch | +2.8 | 46% | $4,734.20 | \-2.40% | Wrong | | 2026-04-26 | Buy | +4.8 | 49% | $4,722.30 | \-1.65% | Wrong | | 2026-04-25 | Buy | +4.8 | 49% | $4,725.40 | \-2.36% | Wrong | | 2026-04-24 | Watch | \-0.3 | 75% | $4,688.80 | \-1.79% | Wrong | | 2026-04-23 | Watch | +1.8 | 65% | $4,723.60 | \-3.39% | Wrong | | 2026-04-22 | Buy | +4.8 | 49% | $4,788.60 | \-3.64% | Wrong | | 2026-04-21 | Buy | +6.8 | 56% | $4,807.00 | \-2.82% | Wrong | | 2026-04-20 | Buy | +5.8 | 49% | $4,777.60 | \-0.91% | Wrong | | 2026-04-19 | Buy | +5.8 | 49% | $4,857.60 | \-2.79% | Wrong | | 2026-04-18 | Buy | +5.8 | 53% | $4,857.60 | \-2.72% | Wrong | | 2026-04-17 | Buy | +4.8 | 47% | $4,824.40 | \-2.81% | Wrong | | 2026-04-16 | Buy | +7.3 | 55% | $4,856.70 | \-2.74% | Wrong | | 2026-04-15 | Buy | +4.8 | 47% | $4,853.50 | \-1.34% | Wrong | | 2026-04-14 | Buy | +6.3 | 52% | $4,789.30 | +0.37% | Correct | | 2026-04-13 | Buy | +3.8 | 43% | $4,738.90 | +0.82% | Correct | | 2026-04-12 | Buy | +3.8 | 43% | $4,787.40 | +1.47% | Correct | | 2026-04-11 | Buy | +3.8 | 43% | $4,771.00 | +1.82% | Correct | | 2026-04-10 | Buy | +4.3 | 45% | $4,787.60 | +0.77% | Correct | | 2026-04-09 | Buy | +3.3 | 44% | $4,741.20 | +2.44% | Correct | | 2026-04-08 | Buy | +4.8 | 49% | $4,830.70 | +0.47% | Correct | | 2026-04-07 | Watch | +2.8 | 46% | $4,741.80 | +1.00% | Wrong | | 2026-04-06 | Don't Buy | \-3.8 | 33% | $4,652.76 | +1.85% | Wrong | | 2026-04-05 | Watch | \-0.8 | 75% | $4,676.49 | +2.37% | Wrong | | 2026-04-04 | Don't Buy | \-3.8 | 43% | $4,676.49 | +2.02% | Wrong | | 2026-04-03 | Watch | \-2.8 | 51% | $4,676.49 | +2.38% | Wrong | | 2026-04-02 | Watch | \-0.8 | 75% | $4,603.27 | +3.00% | Wrong | | 2026-04-01 | Watch | +0.3 | 75% | $4,717.40 | +2.40% | Wrong | | 2026-03-31 | Watch | \-2.0 | 75% | $4,620.60 | +2.62% | Wrong | ## Browse Archive Explore verdict history by year and month. [2026](/track-record/2026) [Aug](/track-record/2026/08)[Jul](/track-record/2026/07)[Jun](/track-record/2026/06)[May](/track-record/2026/05)[Apr](/track-record/2026/04)[Mar](/track-record/2026/03) Automated analysis disclaimer This verdict is generated by an automated analysis engine using publicly available data. It is not personalized financial advice. Your financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals are unique — consult a licensed financial advisor. --- Source: https://shouldibuygoldnow.com/track-record Site: shouldibuygoldnow.com — Daily gold investment signals powered by 11 macro factors